Fantasy Football News, Rankings, Drafts, Analysis l Last Word On Sports https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/category/fantasy/ NFL Team News, Analysis, History, Schedule, Rumors Wed, 19 Mar 2025 17:06:22 +0000 en-US hourly 1 Josh Allen Dynasty Outlook After NFL MVP Season, New Contract https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/2025/03/19/josh-allen-dynasty-outlook-2025-fantasy-football-nfl-mvp-buffalo-bills/ https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/2025/03/19/josh-allen-dynasty-outlook-2025-fantasy-football-nfl-mvp-buffalo-bills/#respond Wed, 19 Mar 2025 17:06:22 +0000 https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/?p=223519 Quarterback Josh Allen is firmly in the conversation as the NFL's top dog after taking home Most Valuable Player honors for the 2024 season. The Buffalo Bills rewarded his continued ascent with a six-year, $330 million contract extension. So, as crazy as the question may sound, is now the time to put Allen on the trade block in dynasty fantasy football leagues?

Josh Allen Dynasty Outlook (2025 Fantasy Football)

Bills Superstar's Current Production

No player can match Allen's combination of high-end production and consistency. He's recorded at least 40 total touchdowns in five straight seasons, which is an NFL record, and his 117 straight starts is the longest active streak among quarterbacks.

Here's a look at his overall numbers from 2024:

  • Passing: 63.6 percent completion rate, 3,731 yards, 28 touchdowns and 6 interceptions
  • Rushing: 102 carries for 531 yards and 12 touchdowns

Translated to fantasy numbers, Allen ranked second among players in total points (385) behind only the Baltimore Ravens' Lamar Jackson in standard leagues, per FantasyPros.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1884430554524721348

None of this is a surprise, of course. The 28-year-old California native has established himself as an elite quarterback in both the real and fantasy worlds. You had to pay a premium to get him if you've drafted your dynasty league at any point since 2020.

The question is whether a dual-threat quarterback will be able to maintain that high level of play. He's coming off a campaign where he battled various injuries, including a wrist injury suffered during the team's playoff loss to the Kansas City Chiefs.

"Get away, let the body heal," Allen told reporters at season's end. "Got bumps and bruises from last night, took a few shots. Just trying to make sure that my body's in as good as condition as it can be given maybe a week or two and just kind of getting back to work."

The three-time Pro Bowler takes far more hits than the average signal-caller, and those tend to take a cumulative tool over the years.

Josh Allen Dynasty Price

Allen is the No. 1 quarterback and the No. 11 overall player in dynasty leagues, according to the ranking website KeepTradeCut. His value score is 7914—Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson paces the metric at 9999—and he's 400 points above the next quarterback, Jayden Daniels of the Washington Commanders.

Josh Allen Dynasty Outlook After MVP Season

Allen is going to remain a top-tier quarterback for the next handful of years. While there's virtually no doubt about that, his long-term outlook is a little more murky.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1902028189473652931

The University of Wyoming product isn't afraid of trying to take on contact. Yes, the Bills have successfully coached some of that out of him in recent years, but he's always going to want the ball in his hands in close games, even if that means taking extra hits.

All of the damage he's taken over his first seven NFL seasons is going to catch up with him eventually. He's not a pure pocket passer like Tom Brady, who remained productive into his 40s. He'd be wise to start adapting his style of play more in that direction if he does want to play for another decade-plus, though.

Meanwhile, the Bills have been adamant about building a more balanced offense. It's an effort buoyed by the strong play of running back James Cook in recent years. Check out Allen's passing attempts by season since throwing the ball a career-high number of times in 2021:

  • 2021: 646
  • 2022: 567
  • 2023: 579
  • 2024: 483

Those numbers are not trending in the right direction from a fantasy perspective. Allen's legs have allowed him to remain valuable, but there are reasons for concern buried beneath the surface.

What To Do With Bills Quarterback in Dynasty Leagues

This is the perfect offseason to see if anyone is willing to overpay for Allen in a trade. That doesn't mean you absolutely have to move him. At worst, you keep a quarterback who should once again be the top scorers in fantasy football in 2025.

Yet, considering positional scarcity and Allen's injury-filled 2024, now's the time to see whether he could be flipped for a couple of young wide receivers. Or perhaps you could package Allen and a wide receiver to land someone like the New York Giants' Malik Nabers.

Fantasy football is all about selling high and buying low. That's the only path to sustained, long-term success. If you have a championship roster now, maintaining the status quo may keep your title window open for a few years, but eventually, a rebuild will be inevitable.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1887929104063939000

On the other hand, while there's an obvious risk with constantly trying to trade players at peak value, the upside is staying in the title picture indefinitely. Move superstars before their decline arrives.

Allen will probably never have more trade value than he does right now. In turn, dynasty managers are doing themselves a disservice if they aren't at least considering offers. Throw the quarterback on the trade block and see if anyone tosses out an insane proposal.

If not, lock him in as your QB1 again in 2025 and see what the next offseason holds.

Main Photo: Tina MacIntyre-Yee/Democrat and Chronicle-USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The post Josh Allen Dynasty Outlook After NFL MVP Season, New Contract appeared first on Last Word on Pro Football.

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Quarterback Josh Allen is firmly in the conversation as the NFL’s top dog after taking home Most Valuable Player honors for the 2024 season. The Buffalo Bills rewarded his continued ascent with a six-year, $330 million contract extension. So, as crazy as the question may sound, is now the time to put Allen on the trade block in dynasty fantasy football leagues?

Josh Allen Dynasty Outlook (2025 Fantasy Football)

Bills Superstar’s Current Production

No player can match Allen’s combination of high-end production and consistency. He’s recorded at least 40 total touchdowns in five straight seasons, which is an NFL record, and his 117 straight starts is the longest active streak among quarterbacks.

Here’s a look at his overall numbers from 2024:

  • Passing: 63.6 percent completion rate, 3,731 yards, 28 touchdowns and 6 interceptions
  • Rushing: 102 carries for 531 yards and 12 touchdowns

Translated to fantasy numbers, Allen ranked second among players in total points (385) behind only the Baltimore Ravens’ Lamar Jackson in standard leagues, per FantasyPros.

None of this is a surprise, of course. The 28-year-old California native has established himself as an elite quarterback in both the real and fantasy worlds. You had to pay a premium to get him if you’ve drafted your dynasty league at any point since 2020.

The question is whether a dual-threat quarterback will be able to maintain that high level of play. He’s coming off a campaign where he battled various injuries, including a wrist injury suffered during the team’s playoff loss to the Kansas City Chiefs.

“Get away, let the body heal,” Allen told reporters at season’s end. “Got bumps and bruises from last night, took a few shots. Just trying to make sure that my body’s in as good as condition as it can be given maybe a week or two and just kind of getting back to work.”

The three-time Pro Bowler takes far more hits than the average signal-caller, and those tend to take a cumulative tool over the years.

Josh Allen Dynasty Price

Allen is the No. 1 quarterback and the No. 11 overall player in dynasty leagues, according to the ranking website KeepTradeCut. His value score is 7914—Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson paces the metric at 9999—and he’s 400 points above the next quarterback, Jayden Daniels of the Washington Commanders.

Josh Allen Dynasty Outlook After MVP Season

Allen is going to remain a top-tier quarterback for the next handful of years. While there’s virtually no doubt about that, his long-term outlook is a little more murky.

The University of Wyoming product isn’t afraid of trying to take on contact. Yes, the Bills have successfully coached some of that out of him in recent years, but he’s always going to want the ball in his hands in close games, even if that means taking extra hits.

All of the damage he’s taken over his first seven NFL seasons is going to catch up with him eventually. He’s not a pure pocket passer like Tom Brady, who remained productive into his 40s. He’d be wise to start adapting his style of play more in that direction if he does want to play for another decade-plus, though.

Meanwhile, the Bills have been adamant about building a more balanced offense. It’s an effort buoyed by the strong play of running back James Cook in recent years. Check out Allen’s passing attempts by season since throwing the ball a career-high number of times in 2021:

  • 2021: 646
  • 2022: 567
  • 2023: 579
  • 2024: 483

Those numbers are not trending in the right direction from a fantasy perspective. Allen’s legs have allowed him to remain valuable, but there are reasons for concern buried beneath the surface.

What To Do With Bills Quarterback in Dynasty Leagues

This is the perfect offseason to see if anyone is willing to overpay for Allen in a trade. That doesn’t mean you absolutely have to move him. At worst, you keep a quarterback who should once again be the top scorers in fantasy football in 2025.

Yet, considering positional scarcity and Allen’s injury-filled 2024, now’s the time to see whether he could be flipped for a couple of young wide receivers. Or perhaps you could package Allen and a wide receiver to land someone like the New York GiantsMalik Nabers.

Fantasy football is all about selling high and buying low. That’s the only path to sustained, long-term success. If you have a championship roster now, maintaining the status quo may keep your title window open for a few years, but eventually, a rebuild will be inevitable.

On the other hand, while there’s an obvious risk with constantly trying to trade players at peak value, the upside is staying in the title picture indefinitely. Move superstars before their decline arrives.

Allen will probably never have more trade value than he does right now. In turn, dynasty managers are doing themselves a disservice if they aren’t at least considering offers. Throw the quarterback on the trade block and see if anyone tosses out an insane proposal.

If not, lock him in as your QB1 again in 2025 and see what the next offseason holds.

Main Photo: Tina MacIntyre-Yee/Democrat and Chronicle-USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

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Garrett Wilson Fantasy Outlook After Jets Off-Season Moves https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/2025/03/18/garrett-wilson-fantasy-outlook-after-jets-off-season-moves/ https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/2025/03/18/garrett-wilson-fantasy-outlook-after-jets-off-season-moves/#respond Tue, 18 Mar 2025 19:17:55 +0000 https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/?p=223201 NFL free agency has begun to wind down and the fantasy community continues to digest the player movement, update rankings and projections, and formulate takeaways. The player movement has been fast and furious. Free agent signings and player movement do not always have direct implications, and that is today's focus. With the New York Jets releasing Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams signing with the Los Angeles Rams, Garrett Wilson's fantasy outlook albeit indirectly, was greatly affected.

Garrett Wilson Fantasy Outlook After Jets Off-Season Moves

Wilson Could Be Due For Serious Volume With Adam's Departure

Garrett Wilson finished last season as a top-10 fantasy wide receiver, ending his 2024 campaign as the overall PPR WR10. However, the data suggests an even better season is coming with his return as the Jets' alpha wide receiver. Wilson's receiving metrics were as follows: In 11 games with Adams, his target share was 22.8%, in the 23 games without Adams over two seasons, his target share jumped to 28.5%. Wilson is also due positive touchdown regression. Across Wilson's three seasons, his expected touchdown total is 22.5, and yet his actual total is only 14.

Going further, in the six games before Adams arrived in New York, Wilson averaged 16.23 fantasy points and 11 targets per game. After Adams joined the Jets wide receiver room, those numbers dropped to 14.04 and 8 respectively. To put that 16.23  per game average into perspective, that was top-5, right there with Drake London and Brian Thomas Jr. The presence of Adams and his prior relationship with Rodgers hindered Wilson from finishing even better in 2024. You can see that his metrics point to a potential top-5 wide receiver finish in 2025.

How Does New Jet's Quarterback Justin Fields Fit Into Wilson's Fantasy Outlook

Both sides need to be presented to give the full picture of Wilson's fantasy outlook. No wide receiver can be successful without competent quarterback play. By now, the fantasy industry knows the Jets signed Justin Fields to be the new signal caller for the Jets. Fields signed a two-year. $40 million deal last week. Wilson is fully on board with that and excited to be reunited with his former college teammate. However, before we proclaim this a slam-dunk pairing, let's dive into some relevant data.

One of Wilson's highest percentage of patterns run within his route tree was a nine route or 'go' route. His 159 routes were the second-highest in the NFL last season. Fields, last season with the Steelers, was not proficient in that area, completing only 3 of 14 passes. The 21.4 % completion rate ranked bottom three in the league. In addition, among those downfield throws, Fields posted a sub-35 % catchable ball rate. New Jets offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand may not be the best fit for Fields. Engstrand, the former passing game coordinator for the Detroit Lions, success came with Jared Goff under center. Goff and Fields do not possess matching skill sets.

In 2024, Wilson went at the end of the first round in fantasy drafts and current rankings have him as the overall WR17 and an ADP of 36.6. So the market is down on him based on last season's WR10 finish. With a third-round ADP, buying the dip on Wilson and getting a legit alpha wide receiver in that area will be a fantasy value.

Main Image: Kevin R. Wexler-Nort - USA Today Sports 

The post Garrett Wilson Fantasy Outlook After Jets Off-Season Moves appeared first on Last Word on Pro Football.

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NFL free agency has begun to wind down and the fantasy community continues to digest the player movement, update rankings and projections, and formulate takeaways. The player movement has been fast and furious. Free agent signings and player movement do not always have direct implications, and that is today’s focus. With the New York Jets releasing Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams signing with the Los Angeles Rams, Garrett Wilson’s fantasy outlook albeit indirectly, was greatly affected.

Garrett Wilson Fantasy Outlook After Jets Off-Season Moves

Wilson Could Be Due For Serious Volume With Adam’s Departure

Garrett Wilson finished last season as a top-10 fantasy wide receiver, ending his 2024 campaign as the overall PPR WR10. However, the data suggests an even better season is coming with his return as the Jets’ alpha wide receiver. Wilson’s receiving metrics were as follows: In 11 games with Adams, his target share was 22.8%, in the 23 games without Adams over two seasons, his target share jumped to 28.5%. Wilson is also due positive touchdown regression. Across Wilson’s three seasons, his expected touchdown total is 22.5, and yet his actual total is only 14.

Going further, in the six games before Adams arrived in New York, Wilson averaged 16.23 fantasy points and 11 targets per game. After Adams joined the Jets wide receiver room, those numbers dropped to 14.04 and 8 respectively. To put that 16.23  per game average into perspective, that was top-5, right there with Drake London and Brian Thomas Jr. The presence of Adams and his prior relationship with Rodgers hindered Wilson from finishing even better in 2024. You can see that his metrics point to a potential top-5 wide receiver finish in 2025.

How Does New Jet’s Quarterback Justin Fields Fit Into Wilson’s Fantasy Outlook

Both sides need to be presented to give the full picture of Wilson’s fantasy outlook. No wide receiver can be successful without competent quarterback play. By now, the fantasy industry knows the Jets signed Justin Fields to be the new signal caller for the Jets. Fields signed a two-year. $40 million deal last week. Wilson is fully on board with that and excited to be reunited with his former college teammate. However, before we proclaim this a slam-dunk pairing, let’s dive into some relevant data.

One of Wilson’s highest percentage of patterns run within his route tree was a nine route or ‘go’ route. His 159 routes were the second-highest in the NFL last season. Fields, last season with the Steelers, was not proficient in that area, completing only 3 of 14 passes. The 21.4 % completion rate ranked bottom three in the league. In addition, among those downfield throws, Fields posted a sub-35 % catchable ball rate. New Jets offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand may not be the best fit for Fields. Engstrand, the former passing game coordinator for the Detroit Lions, success came with Jared Goff under center. Goff and Fields do not possess matching skill sets.

In 2024, Wilson went at the end of the first round in fantasy drafts and current rankings have him as the overall WR17 and an ADP of 36.6. So the market is down on him based on last season’s WR10 finish. With a third-round ADP, buying the dip on Wilson and getting a legit alpha wide receiver in that area will be a fantasy value.

Main Image: Kevin R. Wexler-Nort – USA Today Sports 

The post Garrett Wilson Fantasy Outlook After Jets Off-Season Moves appeared first on Last Word on Pro Football.

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Dynasty Buy Lows – Chiefs Wide Receiver and More Players Valued Outside the Top 200 https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/2025/03/14/dynasty-buy-lows-chiefs-players-valued-outside-the-top-200/ https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/2025/03/14/dynasty-buy-lows-chiefs-players-valued-outside-the-top-200/#respond Fri, 14 Mar 2025 13:15:58 +0000 https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/?p=222707 It's the slow part of the dynasty season, and buy lows are a great way to add value to rosters. While rookie fever catches on, some of these players will be pushed even further down despite having roles or opportunities on their current teams. Let's go bargain bin hunting, and find some dynasty buy lows before the draft hits.

Note: Player valuations are pulled from fantasycalc, a fantasy trade calculator that pulls ADP and real trades from leagues on Sleeper. 

Dynasty Buy Lows - Players Valued Outside the Top 200

Matthew Stafford, QB Los Angeles Rams

Death, taxes, and Matthew Stafford being undervalued in superflex leagues. Stafford has been a solid QB2 with top-twelve upside for years, and his contract extension keeps him in L.A. for at least another couple of years. While other managers chase the new shiny toys, Stafford is easy to acquire and can hold down that superflex spot for dynasty managers.

Recommended offer: Late 2025 second

Quarterback Buy Low Podcast Episode

Hollywood Brown, WR Kansas City Chiefs

Brown quietly averaged over five targets per game in healthy games last year and seems to be the only Chiefs wide receiver without a red flag heading into 2025. It's unlikely he will return to being a must-start option. But for leagues with tons of flex spots, Brown can be one of your dynasty buy lows.

Recommended offer: Late 2025 second or early 2025 third

Demario Douglas, WR New England Patriots

Another deep flex option, Douglas finished as a WR4 despite playing with a rookie quarterback and a putrid offensive environment. It's likely the Patriots address their WR spot in the first round of the NFL draft, but Douglas has a role as their slot receiver. With late-round picks having an atrocious hit rate, Douglas is easy to acquire and can provide depth for a competing team.

Recommended offer: Mid-2025 third

https://youtu.be/wMfEG0f2NwQ?si=qIt56OAbB9-VCtOS

Kenny Pickett, QB Cleveland Browns

This is only for superflex leagues. And hold your nose while you do it. But there's a real chance he starts for the Browns in 2025 and can be an emergency third quarterback for teams that need one. No, Kenny Pickett is not going to be the truck that pulls a dynasty team to a championship. But he can fill in for bye weeks and injuries, and adding him as a speculative buy before the draft will keep his price nice and cheap.

Recommended offer: Any 2025 fourth, bump up to a late third if required

Audric Estime, RB Denver Broncos

How does a super young handcuff at a cheap price sound? The Denver Broncos will likely attack the running back position in the draft, but Estime should be the backup for whoever they add or can compete to be the starter. When looking for dynasty buy lows, easy additions like Estime can be flipped for more value later in the offseason.

Recommended offer: Late 2025 third

Running Back Buy Lows Podcast Episode

Other Possible Dynasty Buy Lows

Keenan Allen for a mid-third.

Kendre Miller for a mid-third.

Joe Milton for a third or fourth.

Main Photo Credit: Joe Camporeale-Imagn Images

The post Dynasty Buy Lows – Chiefs Wide Receiver and More Players Valued Outside the Top 200 appeared first on Last Word on Pro Football.

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It’s the slow part of the dynasty season, and buy lows are a great way to add value to rosters. While rookie fever catches on, some of these players will be pushed even further down despite having roles or opportunities on their current teams. Let’s go bargain bin hunting, and find some dynasty buy lows before the draft hits.

Note: Player valuations are pulled from fantasycalc, a fantasy trade calculator that pulls ADP and real trades from leagues on Sleeper. 

Dynasty Buy Lows – Players Valued Outside the Top 200

Matthew Stafford, QB Los Angeles Rams

Death, taxes, and Matthew Stafford being undervalued in superflex leagues. Stafford has been a solid QB2 with top-twelve upside for years, and his contract extension keeps him in L.A. for at least another couple of years. While other managers chase the new shiny toys, Stafford is easy to acquire and can hold down that superflex spot for dynasty managers.

Recommended offer: Late 2025 second

Quarterback Buy Low Podcast Episode

Hollywood Brown, WR Kansas City Chiefs

Brown quietly averaged over five targets per game in healthy games last year and seems to be the only Chiefs wide receiver without a red flag heading into 2025. It’s unlikely he will return to being a must-start option. But for leagues with tons of flex spots, Brown can be one of your dynasty buy lows.

Recommended offer: Late 2025 second or early 2025 third

Demario Douglas, WR New England Patriots

Another deep flex option, Douglas finished as a WR4 despite playing with a rookie quarterback and a putrid offensive environment. It’s likely the Patriots address their WR spot in the first round of the NFL draft, but Douglas has a role as their slot receiver. With late-round picks having an atrocious hit rate, Douglas is easy to acquire and can provide depth for a competing team.

Recommended offer: Mid-2025 third

Kenny Pickett, QB Cleveland Browns

This is only for superflex leagues. And hold your nose while you do it. But there’s a real chance he starts for the Browns in 2025 and can be an emergency third quarterback for teams that need one. No, Kenny Pickett is not going to be the truck that pulls a dynasty team to a championship. But he can fill in for bye weeks and injuries, and adding him as a speculative buy before the draft will keep his price nice and cheap.

Recommended offer: Any 2025 fourth, bump up to a late third if required

Audric Estime, RB Denver Broncos

How does a super young handcuff at a cheap price sound? The Denver Broncos will likely attack the running back position in the draft, but Estime should be the backup for whoever they add or can compete to be the starter. When looking for dynasty buy lows, easy additions like Estime can be flipped for more value later in the offseason.

Recommended offer: Late 2025 third

Running Back Buy Lows Podcast Episode

Other Possible Dynasty Buy Lows

Keenan Allen for a mid-third.

Kendre Miller for a mid-third.

Joe Milton for a third or fourth.

Main Photo Credit: Joe Camporeale-Imagn Images

The post Dynasty Buy Lows – Chiefs Wide Receiver and More Players Valued Outside the Top 200 appeared first on Last Word on Pro Football.

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Najee Harris Best Ball Fantasy Outlook After Signing With Chargers https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/2025/03/13/najee-harris-best-ball-option-after-signing-with-chargers/ https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/2025/03/13/najee-harris-best-ball-option-after-signing-with-chargers/#respond Thu, 13 Mar 2025 20:47:11 +0000 https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/?p=222051 NFL free agency has begun to shake out with the first big wave of player signings mostly complete. The fantasy community will now begin to digest the player movement, update rankings and projections, and formulate takeaways. Player movement has been fast and furious. One move that may not have been as flashy as some was former Pittsburgh Steelers first-round draft pick Najee Harris signing a free-agent deal. This past Monday, Harris signed a one-year, $9.25 million contract with the Los Angeles Chargers. Los Angeles released Gus Edwards, and last season's lead back, JK Dobbins, remains a free agent. It appears Harris will enter the 2024 season as the lead back in the Jim Harbaugh/Greg Roman run-based offense. The RB1 in that offense is a coveted asset and can be fantasy gold.

Najee Harris Best Ball Fantasy Outlook After Signing With Chargers

Najee Harris A Solid RB2 Option on Best Ball Rosters

There are three predominant running back strategies in fantasy formats. Whether you are a robust running back, a hero running back or a zero running back proponent, Najee Harris needs to be on your fantasy radar in best ball leagues. Harris gets knocked in fantasy circles for never being a dominant fantasy running back. However, you can not argue with his consistency. Harris has posted at least 1000 rushing yards in the last four seasons. Naysayers will say that the feat is not what it used to be - fair point - but no other running back has accomplished that! Harris finished 2024 as the overall PPR RB20, averaging 12 points per game with a snap share above 50% in just seven games. He was one of five backs with at least nine explosive runs of 20 or more yards.

Harris currently sits as the RB28 in early best ball rankings with an overall ADP of  85. As previously mentioned, Harris enters the off-season as the lead back in an offensive scheme that lends itself to fantasy production. J.K. Dobbins, in this offense, finished 2024 as a top-24 running back despite missing four games. Harris gives you stability at that second running back spot. There is a path within this offense to a top 12 finish if he can garner the same touchdown equity.

Harris Possesses The Durability That Is Crucial In Best Ball Leagues

Consistency at running back can only be accomplished by playing week in and week out. Najee Harris has done that his entire career at running back. In a position as volatile as running back, he has never missed a game in his four-year playing career. To write that is almost unbelievable. If durability is not the most crucial component in Best Ball Fantasy, it is certainly one of them. There are no mulligans in Best Ball; if a player suffers a season-ending injury, you are not afforded a roster replacement. In Harris, dare we say, that has never been a concern. Najee Harris represents a steady and durable running back option going outside the deadzone in round seven of best ball drafts.

Main Image:  Barry Reeger-Imagn Images

The post Najee Harris Best Ball Fantasy Outlook After Signing With Chargers appeared first on Last Word on Pro Football.

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NFL free agency has begun to shake out with the first big wave of player signings mostly complete. The fantasy community will now begin to digest the player movement, update rankings and projections, and formulate takeaways. Player movement has been fast and furious. One move that may not have been as flashy as some was former Pittsburgh Steelers first-round draft pick Najee Harris signing a free-agent deal. This past Monday, Harris signed a one-year, $9.25 million contract with the Los Angeles Chargers. Los Angeles released Gus Edwards, and last season’s lead back, JK Dobbins, remains a free agent. It appears Harris will enter the 2024 season as the lead back in the Jim Harbaugh/Greg Roman run-based offense. The RB1 in that offense is a coveted asset and can be fantasy gold.

Najee Harris Best Ball Fantasy Outlook After Signing With Chargers

Najee Harris A Solid RB2 Option on Best Ball Rosters

There are three predominant running back strategies in fantasy formats. Whether you are a robust running back, a hero running back or a zero running back proponent, Najee Harris needs to be on your fantasy radar in best ball leagues. Harris gets knocked in fantasy circles for never being a dominant fantasy running back. However, you can not argue with his consistency. Harris has posted at least 1000 rushing yards in the last four seasons. Naysayers will say that the feat is not what it used to be – fair point – but no other running back has accomplished that! Harris finished 2024 as the overall PPR RB20, averaging 12 points per game with a snap share above 50% in just seven games. He was one of five backs with at least nine explosive runs of 20 or more yards.

Harris currently sits as the RB28 in early best ball rankings with an overall ADP of  85. As previously mentioned, Harris enters the off-season as the lead back in an offensive scheme that lends itself to fantasy production. J.K. Dobbins, in this offense, finished 2024 as a top-24 running back despite missing four games. Harris gives you stability at that second running back spot. There is a path within this offense to a top 12 finish if he can garner the same touchdown equity.

Harris Possesses The Durability That Is Crucial In Best Ball Leagues

Consistency at running back can only be accomplished by playing week in and week out. Najee Harris has done that his entire career at running back. In a position as volatile as running back, he has never missed a game in his four-year playing career. To write that is almost unbelievable. If durability is not the most crucial component in Best Ball Fantasy, it is certainly one of them. There are no mulligans in Best Ball; if a player suffers a season-ending injury, you are not afforded a roster replacement. In Harris, dare we say, that has never been a concern. Najee Harris represents a steady and durable running back option going outside the deadzone in round seven of best ball drafts.

Main Image:  Barry Reeger-Imagn Images

The post Najee Harris Best Ball Fantasy Outlook After Signing With Chargers appeared first on Last Word on Pro Football.

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2025 NFL Draft Scouting Report: Ollie Gordon, Oklahoma State https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/2025/03/13/2025-nfl-draft-scouting-report-ollie-gordon-oklahoma-state/ https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/2025/03/13/2025-nfl-draft-scouting-report-ollie-gordon-oklahoma-state/#respond Thu, 13 Mar 2025 14:45:12 +0000 https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/?p=222380 After leading the NCAA in rushing yards and yards from scrimmage in 2023, Ollie Gordon took a major step back in 2024. Any Ollie Gordon scouting report would be incomplete without acknowledging the major step back by the offensive line in 2024. But was it all on them, or does Gordon share some of the blame?

2025 NFL Draft Profiles

Ollie Gordon Scouting Report Overview

Height: 6'1"

Weight: 226 pounds

40-yard dash: 4.61 seconds

Vertical: 34.5"

Broad jump: 10'0"

Combine Thresholds for Running Backs

2025 NFL Draft Scouting Report: Ollie Gordon, Oklahoma State

Ollie Gordon Strengths

  • Tough, physical runner;
  • Can make catches outside of his frame, uncommon for a back of his size;
  • Better game speed than Combine testing showed;
  • Able to read blocks at the second level;

https://youtu.be/ndHqOpXhqA0?si=YRj8K0y4z6op6mtO

Ollie Gordon Weaknesses

  • Had to dive at legs in pass protection in 2024 with 2023's pass-blocking performance;
  • Not particularly sudden in any movements, won't make NFL defenders miss in open space;
  • Needs a runway to accelerate, and doesn't hit top speed until 20 to 30 yards down the field;
  • Vision at the point of attack leaves room to improve.

Team Fits: Pittsburgh Steelers, Dallas Cowboys, Minnesota Vikings

NFL Player Comparison: Damien Harris

Projected Draft Capital: Early Day Three

Watch: Ollie Gordon All-22 Film Study

Ollie Gordon's Projected Role in the NFL

Gordon isn't fooling anyone into thinking he's Jahmyr Gibbs or Bijan Robinson. But he can be an effective thunder for a thunder and lightning combination. His large frame (he likely slimmed down to 226 for the Combine), tough rushing style, and nose for the goal line will make him a coach's back of choice for short-yardage situations. If he wants to make the leap to an every-down back, his pass blocking must improve. For a back of his size, Gordon is constantly diving at ankles, chipping softly, and completely missing blitzers. He's a liability on third down, and without that, he won't see the field in passing situations.

Gordon is a back that will be a symptom of the overall health of an offense. He doesn't have the wiggle or vision to make things happen out of structure, but if he gets a full head of steam behind a good offensive line safeties will start making business decisions. He's one of the younger prospects in the 2025 NFL Draft, so he has time to fix some of his bigger issues.

Read More: Top Ten Running Backs in 2025 NFL Draft

Ollie Gordon Dynasty Fantasy Football Outlook

Gordon is currently valued as the 3.12 in the latest Footballguys rookie guide and is part of a deep running back class. Despite the monster 2023, dynasty managers have a sour taste in their mouths from 2024. Landing spot is going to re-organize most of RB6 all the way through RB14 in this upcoming class. It has nothing to do with a lack of talent from these players, but they're all good enough to earn a strong backup or even a timeshare role in an NFL offense. If Gordon lands with one of the top three team fits above, or another team with a strong running back need, he'll be a priority target in the third round of rookie drafts.

Main Photo Credit: Vasha Hunt-Imagn Images

The post 2025 NFL Draft Scouting Report: Ollie Gordon, Oklahoma State appeared first on Last Word on Pro Football.

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After leading the NCAA in rushing yards and yards from scrimmage in 2023, Ollie Gordon took a major step back in 2024. Any Ollie Gordon scouting report would be incomplete without acknowledging the major step back by the offensive line in 2024. But was it all on them, or does Gordon share some of the blame?

2025 NFL Draft Profiles

Ollie Gordon Scouting Report Overview

Height: 6’1″

Weight: 226 pounds

40-yard dash: 4.61 seconds

Vertical: 34.5″

Broad jump: 10’0″

Combine Thresholds for Running Backs

2025 NFL Draft Scouting Report: Ollie Gordon, Oklahoma State

Ollie Gordon Strengths

  • Tough, physical runner;
  • Can make catches outside of his frame, uncommon for a back of his size;
  • Better game speed than Combine testing showed;
  • Able to read blocks at the second level;

Ollie Gordon Weaknesses

  • Had to dive at legs in pass protection in 2024 with 2023’s pass-blocking performance;
  • Not particularly sudden in any movements, won’t make NFL defenders miss in open space;
  • Needs a runway to accelerate, and doesn’t hit top speed until 20 to 30 yards down the field;
  • Vision at the point of attack leaves room to improve.

Team Fits: Pittsburgh Steelers, Dallas Cowboys, Minnesota Vikings

NFL Player Comparison: Damien Harris

Projected Draft Capital: Early Day Three

Watch: Ollie Gordon All-22 Film Study

Ollie Gordon’s Projected Role in the NFL

Gordon isn’t fooling anyone into thinking he’s Jahmyr Gibbs or Bijan Robinson. But he can be an effective thunder for a thunder and lightning combination. His large frame (he likely slimmed down to 226 for the Combine), tough rushing style, and nose for the goal line will make him a coach’s back of choice for short-yardage situations. If he wants to make the leap to an every-down back, his pass blocking must improve. For a back of his size, Gordon is constantly diving at ankles, chipping softly, and completely missing blitzers. He’s a liability on third down, and without that, he won’t see the field in passing situations.

Gordon is a back that will be a symptom of the overall health of an offense. He doesn’t have the wiggle or vision to make things happen out of structure, but if he gets a full head of steam behind a good offensive line safeties will start making business decisions. He’s one of the younger prospects in the 2025 NFL Draft, so he has time to fix some of his bigger issues.

Read More: Top Ten Running Backs in 2025 NFL Draft

Ollie Gordon Dynasty Fantasy Football Outlook

Gordon is currently valued as the 3.12 in the latest Footballguys rookie guide and is part of a deep running back class. Despite the monster 2023, dynasty managers have a sour taste in their mouths from 2024. Landing spot is going to re-organize most of RB6 all the way through RB14 in this upcoming class. It has nothing to do with a lack of talent from these players, but they’re all good enough to earn a strong backup or even a timeshare role in an NFL offense. If Gordon lands with one of the top three team fits above, or another team with a strong running back need, he’ll be a priority target in the third round of rookie drafts.

Main Photo Credit: Vasha Hunt-Imagn Images

The post 2025 NFL Draft Scouting Report: Ollie Gordon, Oklahoma State appeared first on Last Word on Pro Football.

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D.K. Metcalf Fantasy Outlook After Trade To The Steelers https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/2025/03/12/d-k-metcalf-fantasy-outlook-after-trade-to-steelers/ https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/2025/03/12/d-k-metcalf-fantasy-outlook-after-trade-to-steelers/#respond Wed, 12 Mar 2025 16:51:25 +0000 https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/?p=221718 The NFL free agency whirlwind has begun, and player movement has been fast and furious. One of the more shocking moves was made by a team that historically is quiet in the first wave of free agency, the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers and Seahawks agreed on a trade to send D.K. Metcalf to the Steelers in exchange for three 2025 draft picks. Pittsburgh then turned around and signed Metcalf to a new five-year, 150 million dollar contract. Adding a talent like Metcalf is a potentially huge addition for the Steelers, and pairing him with an ultra-talented player like George Pickens gives them one of the better receiving duos in the NFL. However, from a fantasy perspective, things remained muddled as we look at Metcalf's outlook.

D.K. Metcalf Fantasy Outlook After Blockbuster Move By The Steelers

Pittsburgh Steelers Starting Quarterback Still Up In The Air

D.K. Metcalf's fantasy outlook will depend greatly on who will be the Steelers' signal caller in 2025. The NFL is a quarterback-driven league, and with no top-flight option, fantasy output is capped. In 2024, they finished in the bottom half of the league in total offense, passing offense, and points scored. As of this writing, the current QB1 for Pittsburgh is former Miami Dolphins backup Skylar Thompson. The NFL rumor mill continues to swirl, and multiple outlets suggest Aaron Rodgers as a potential starting quarterback option for the Steelers.

The 2024 Steelers offense could not support one alpha receiver, and now they are adding a second in D.K. Metcalf. George Pickens, despite the 25% target share and the 2.11 yards per route run, only finished as the overall WR42. Pittsburgh's passing offense ranked 27th, and last year's starter Russell Wilson finished as QB24.

D.K. Metcalf's 2024 Fantasy Trends Are Worrisome

The fantasy data on Metcalf further underscores how important the Steelers being able to secure a competent signal caller for next season is. Last year, Metcalf saw a significant dip in some key wide receiver metrics. His stats dropped in red zone targets, endzone targets, and expected receiving touchdown catches. He posted a career low target rate per route run and did not make the top four receptions after week 10.

Where Does D.K. Metcalf Fit Within The Steelers Offensive Scheme

The Steelers were a low-volume passing game under offensive coordinator Arthur Smith. The concern is if the offense can support two wide receivers that profile as a team's top passing option. D.K. Metcalf will make a transition to an offense that threw nearly 100 times less and alongside Pickens, who saw almost 50% of his team's air yards. The positives for Metcalf are that Pittsburgh wide receivers led the league with 12.9 yards per target. That pairs well with Metcalf, who relied heavily on the deep ball last season. He set a career high in targets of 20 or more yards downfield.

The final point to consider is whether the Steelers, in addition to signing a new quarterback, will move George Pickens during the free agency. Pickens will almost certainly want a new deal, and tying up major cap space on two receivers is not necessarily sound roster management. If Pickens gets moved or Pittsburgh inks Rodgers, D.K. Metcalf's fantasy stock will rise. He immediately moves into at least the WR2 category, with WR1 upside. If Pickens remains a Steele,r or they end up with a low-end starting quarterback, we need to temper expectations. The volume and target share concerns could end up capping Metcalf's upside.

Main Image: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

The post D.K. Metcalf Fantasy Outlook After Trade To The Steelers appeared first on Last Word on Pro Football.

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The NFL free agency whirlwind has begun, and player movement has been fast and furious. One of the more shocking moves was made by a team that historically is quiet in the first wave of free agency, the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers and Seahawks agreed on a trade to send D.K. Metcalf to the Steelers in exchange for three 2025 draft picks. Pittsburgh then turned around and signed Metcalf to a new five-year, 150 million dollar contract. Adding a talent like Metcalf is a potentially huge addition for the Steelers, and pairing him with an ultra-talented player like George Pickens gives them one of the better receiving duos in the NFL. However, from a fantasy perspective, things remained muddled as we look at Metcalf’s outlook.

D.K. Metcalf Fantasy Outlook After Blockbuster Move By The Steelers

Pittsburgh Steelers Starting Quarterback Still Up In The Air

D.K. Metcalf’s fantasy outlook will depend greatly on who will be the Steelers’ signal caller in 2025. The NFL is a quarterback-driven league, and with no top-flight option, fantasy output is capped. In 2024, they finished in the bottom half of the league in total offense, passing offense, and points scored. As of this writing, the current QB1 for Pittsburgh is former Miami Dolphins backup Skylar Thompson. The NFL rumor mill continues to swirl, and multiple outlets suggest Aaron Rodgers as a potential starting quarterback option for the Steelers.

The 2024 Steelers offense could not support one alpha receiver, and now they are adding a second in D.K. Metcalf. George Pickens, despite the 25% target share and the 2.11 yards per route run, only finished as the overall WR42. Pittsburgh’s passing offense ranked 27th, and last year’s starter Russell Wilson finished as QB24.

D.K. Metcalf’s 2024 Fantasy Trends Are Worrisome

The fantasy data on Metcalf further underscores how important the Steelers being able to secure a competent signal caller for next season is. Last year, Metcalf saw a significant dip in some key wide receiver metrics. His stats dropped in red zone targets, endzone targets, and expected receiving touchdown catches. He posted a career low target rate per route run and did not make the top four receptions after week 10.

Where Does D.K. Metcalf Fit Within The Steelers Offensive Scheme

The Steelers were a low-volume passing game under offensive coordinator Arthur Smith. The concern is if the offense can support two wide receivers that profile as a team’s top passing option. D.K. Metcalf will make a transition to an offense that threw nearly 100 times less and alongside Pickens, who saw almost 50% of his team’s air yards. The positives for Metcalf are that Pittsburgh wide receivers led the league with 12.9 yards per target. That pairs well with Metcalf, who relied heavily on the deep ball last season. He set a career high in targets of 20 or more yards downfield.

The final point to consider is whether the Steelers, in addition to signing a new quarterback, will move George Pickens during the free agency. Pickens will almost certainly want a new deal, and tying up major cap space on two receivers is not necessarily sound roster management. If Pickens gets moved or Pittsburgh inks Rodgers, D.K. Metcalf’s fantasy stock will rise. He immediately moves into at least the WR2 category, with WR1 upside. If Pickens remains a Steele,r or they end up with a low-end starting quarterback, we need to temper expectations. The volume and target share concerns could end up capping Metcalf’s upside.

Main Image: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

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Najee Harris Dynasty Outlook After Chargers Signing https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/2025/03/11/najee-harris-dynasty-outlook-after-chargers-signing/ https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/2025/03/11/najee-harris-dynasty-outlook-after-chargers-signing/#respond Tue, 11 Mar 2025 20:05:48 +0000 https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/?p=222056 Najee Harris played the first four years of his career with the Pittsburgh Steelers. He played in every game and had 1000 rushing yards in each season. He will join a run-heavy team with the Los Angeles Chargers in 2025. What is the Najee Harris dynasty outlook?

Current Production

Harris had an underrated solid career with the Steelers. His PPR fantasy finishes were RB3 in his rookie season in 2021, RB14 in 2022, RB23 in 2023, and RB20 in 2024. He has been either an RB1 or RB2 every year of his career. Harris has had at least 1000 rushing yards in each season. He ranges between six and eight rushing touchdowns each year.

After having 74 receptions in his rookie season, he has had 41, 29, and 36 in the last three years, respectively. Jaylen Warren took over the receiving work in the last three seasons. Most importantly for Harris, he has not missed a game in four seasons, playing in all 17 games.

https://youtu.be/od0NRpHsblw?si=Qfna9Ro9oWu56YVj

Harris Dynasty Price

According to KeepTradeCut, a website that crowdsources dynasty values from players that use the site, Harris is the RB28. He is behind Zach Charbonnet, Brian Robinson, and Travis Etienne. He is ahead of Trey Benson, James Conner, and the rookie Cam Skattebo. Many of these running backs are in backfield committees, while Harris is poised to be the lead back in Los Angeles. Harris is worth a mid to late-round second-round pick in 2025 rookie dynasty drafts.

Najee Harris Dynasty Outlook After Trade

Harris signed a one-year, $9.25 million contract to join the Los Angeles Chargers. Similar to the Steelers, the Chargers are a run-heavy team. The Steelers had a run rate of 48.31%, while the Chargers ran the ball 44.91% of the time. Chargers’ head coach Jim Harbaugh wants to run the ball, and Harris becomes his workhorse back. 

The two Chargers running backs last year, J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards are both free agents. At the moment, Harris is the clear lead back for the Chargers. The only other running backs currently on the roster are Hassan Haskins and Kimani Vidal. They might take the passing work away from Harris, but Harris should have almost all of the work on the ground. This is very similar to his role in Pittsburgh, with Warren being the primary third down back and Harris getting the rest of the work.

The Chargers could look to draft a running back in a deep running back class in the 2025 NFL Draft. It would not be surprising if the Chargers drafted one. However, they are not paying Harris almost ten million dollars to be in a committee. This will be Harris’ backfield, and whatever running back they draft will be the clear backup behind Harris.

What To Do With Najee Harris in Dynasty Leagues?

Harris went into fantasy drafts underrated in 2024 and exceeded his expectations, finishing as an RB2 in fantasy. Harris should have another solid season with the Chargers in 2025. Expect another RB2 finish for him. I would not be giving up a lot for Harris, as this is only a one-year deal, and then he will re-hit the market. This could be a similar situation to Aaron Jones, who signed a one-year deal with the Vikings but re-signed for two years. If Harris has a great year with the Chargers, they will look to bring him back. However, if he struggles and/or a rookie takes his place, Harris could be looking for a new team for a lesser deal in 2026.

Harris should have a good 2025, but his dynasty outlook after that is murky, making him a short-term player in dynasty leagues. Getting a solid RB2 to join your dynasty teams in 2025 is a good idea for the short term, but Harris should not be in your long-term plans.

Main Photo Credit: Katie Stratman-Imagn Images

The post Najee Harris Dynasty Outlook After Chargers Signing appeared first on Last Word on Pro Football.

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Najee Harris played the first four years of his career with the Pittsburgh Steelers. He played in every game and had 1000 rushing yards in each season. He will join a run-heavy team with the Los Angeles Chargers in 2025. What is the Najee Harris dynasty outlook?

Current Production

Harris had an underrated solid career with the Steelers. His PPR fantasy finishes were RB3 in his rookie season in 2021, RB14 in 2022, RB23 in 2023, and RB20 in 2024. He has been either an RB1 or RB2 every year of his career. Harris has had at least 1000 rushing yards in each season. He ranges between six and eight rushing touchdowns each year.

After having 74 receptions in his rookie season, he has had 41, 29, and 36 in the last three years, respectively. Jaylen Warren took over the receiving work in the last three seasons. Most importantly for Harris, he has not missed a game in four seasons, playing in all 17 games.

Harris Dynasty Price

According to KeepTradeCut, a website that crowdsources dynasty values from players that use the site, Harris is the RB28. He is behind Zach Charbonnet, Brian Robinson, and Travis Etienne. He is ahead of Trey Benson, James Conner, and the rookie Cam Skattebo. Many of these running backs are in backfield committees, while Harris is poised to be the lead back in Los Angeles. Harris is worth a mid to late-round second-round pick in 2025 rookie dynasty drafts.

Najee Harris Dynasty Outlook After Trade

Harris signed a one-year, $9.25 million contract to join the Los Angeles Chargers. Similar to the Steelers, the Chargers are a run-heavy team. The Steelers had a run rate of 48.31%, while the Chargers ran the ball 44.91% of the time. Chargers’ head coach Jim Harbaugh wants to run the ball, and Harris becomes his workhorse back. 

The two Chargers running backs last year, J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards are both free agents. At the moment, Harris is the clear lead back for the Chargers. The only other running backs currently on the roster are Hassan Haskins and Kimani Vidal. They might take the passing work away from Harris, but Harris should have almost all of the work on the ground. This is very similar to his role in Pittsburgh, with Warren being the primary third down back and Harris getting the rest of the work.

The Chargers could look to draft a running back in a deep running back class in the 2025 NFL Draft. It would not be surprising if the Chargers drafted one. However, they are not paying Harris almost ten million dollars to be in a committee. This will be Harris’ backfield, and whatever running back they draft will be the clear backup behind Harris.

What To Do With Najee Harris in Dynasty Leagues?

Harris went into fantasy drafts underrated in 2024 and exceeded his expectations, finishing as an RB2 in fantasy. Harris should have another solid season with the Chargers in 2025. Expect another RB2 finish for him. I would not be giving up a lot for Harris, as this is only a one-year deal, and then he will re-hit the market. This could be a similar situation to Aaron Jones, who signed a one-year deal with the Vikings but re-signed for two years. If Harris has a great year with the Chargers, they will look to bring him back. However, if he struggles and/or a rookie takes his place, Harris could be looking for a new team for a lesser deal in 2026.

Harris should have a good 2025, but his dynasty outlook after that is murky, making him a short-term player in dynasty leagues. Getting a solid RB2 to join your dynasty teams in 2025 is a good idea for the short term, but Harris should not be in your long-term plans.

Main Photo Credit: Katie Stratman-Imagn Images

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Fantasy Tight End Takeaways From The 2024 Season https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/2025/03/11/fantasy-tight-end-takeaways-from-the-2024-season/ https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/2025/03/11/fantasy-tight-end-takeaways-from-the-2024-season/#respond Tue, 11 Mar 2025 12:57:36 +0000 https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/?p=221201 Fantasy takeaways from the 2024 season rolls on, today we move to the tight end position. Whether you won a high-stakes fantasy championship or are a recreational player who won your home league, be proactive. The NFL calendar is year-round. Savvy fantasy players are on top of past season results, coaching movement, and free agency. It is a necessary grind to afford managers the best chance to build a championship roster for the 2025 fantasy season. The targeted focus today will be on tight end positional trends and data. Tight end may be the most frustrating position in all of fantasy football because of its weekly volatility. We identified two tight end trends that can be used when formulating next season's draft plans.

Fantasy Tight End Takeaways From The 2024 Season

Trey McBride Was A Better Fantasy Tight End Than His Stats Indicated

It may sound crazy but Arizona Cardinals tight-end Trey McBride could have been even better last season. McBride finished the 2024 season as the overall PPR TE2. His 15.6 fantasy points per game average was even higher than the overall TE1, Brock Bowers. McBride led all tight ends in several key metrics. He was a league best in target share, targets per route run, and catches per game. Despite those metrics, he scored just two receiving touchdowns on the season.

Touchdowns are one statistic that is very hard to predict, but his total was somewhat of an anomaly. McBride was first among fantasy tight ends in redzone targets, was second in expected touchdowns with 8.5 but ranked just 24th in actual scores. Had McBride posted his expected eight to nine touchdowns, he would have easily finished as the league's top fantasy tight end. Fantasy takeaway, McBride, if usage holds, is due for major positive touchdown regression. Marvin Harrison Jr., a terrific buy low candidate, will no doubt bounce back. With that being said, McBride will still be a major part of the Cardinal's passing attack and a threat to finish as the overall TE1.

Where Do We Draft Jonnu Smith in 2025 Fantasy Drafts

Any fantasy owner that secured Jonuu Smith on their rosters in 2024, got themselves a league winner. The question going forward remains, which tight end will managers be getting in 2025 fantasy drafts? In weeks one through nine, Smith averaged 8.18 fantasy points, less than five targets per game and a 46% snap rate. Starting in week 11, he dominated the tight end landscape. Smith's per game averages skyrocketed to 18.59 fantasy points, 8.25 targets and a 64% snap rate. Smith's metrics, albeit back loaded, were among the league best fantasy tight ends. He was top five among qualified tight ends in targets per route run, yards per route run and PFF receiving grade.

The fantasy takeaway is simple, do not be so quick to be in on Smith at his current asking price as the overall TE6. Smith's career average entering 2024 was 5.54 fantasy points per game. We simply do not trust Tua Tagovailoa to be able to support multiple receiving options. Smith's success came at the result of down years for Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, who finished respectively as the WR18 and WR46. Fantasy managers are buying all the risk drafting Smith at his current ADP of 79.6. In essence, you are paying for Smith at his fantasy ceiling.

Main Photo: Mark J. Rebilas - Imagn Images

The post Fantasy Tight End Takeaways From The 2024 Season appeared first on Last Word on Pro Football.

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Fantasy takeaways from the 2024 season rolls on, today we move to the tight end position. Whether you won a high-stakes fantasy championship or are a recreational player who won your home league, be proactive. The NFL calendar is year-round. Savvy fantasy players are on top of past season results, coaching movement, and free agency. It is a necessary grind to afford managers the best chance to build a championship roster for the 2025 fantasy season. The targeted focus today will be on tight end positional trends and data. Tight end may be the most frustrating position in all of fantasy football because of its weekly volatility. We identified two tight end trends that can be used when formulating next season’s draft plans.

Fantasy Tight End Takeaways From The 2024 Season

Trey McBride Was A Better Fantasy Tight End Than His Stats Indicated

It may sound crazy but Arizona Cardinals tight-end Trey McBride could have been even better last season. McBride finished the 2024 season as the overall PPR TE2. His 15.6 fantasy points per game average was even higher than the overall TE1, Brock Bowers. McBride led all tight ends in several key metrics. He was a league best in target share, targets per route run, and catches per game. Despite those metrics, he scored just two receiving touchdowns on the season.

Touchdowns are one statistic that is very hard to predict, but his total was somewhat of an anomaly. McBride was first among fantasy tight ends in redzone targets, was second in expected touchdowns with 8.5 but ranked just 24th in actual scores. Had McBride posted his expected eight to nine touchdowns, he would have easily finished as the league’s top fantasy tight end. Fantasy takeaway, McBride, if usage holds, is due for major positive touchdown regression. Marvin Harrison Jr., a terrific buy low candidate, will no doubt bounce back. With that being said, McBride will still be a major part of the Cardinal’s passing attack and a threat to finish as the overall TE1.

Where Do We Draft Jonnu Smith in 2025 Fantasy Drafts

Any fantasy owner that secured Jonuu Smith on their rosters in 2024, got themselves a league winner. The question going forward remains, which tight end will managers be getting in 2025 fantasy drafts? In weeks one through nine, Smith averaged 8.18 fantasy points, less than five targets per game and a 46% snap rate. Starting in week 11, he dominated the tight end landscape. Smith’s per game averages skyrocketed to 18.59 fantasy points, 8.25 targets and a 64% snap rate. Smith’s metrics, albeit back loaded, were among the league best fantasy tight ends. He was top five among qualified tight ends in targets per route run, yards per route run and PFF receiving grade.

The fantasy takeaway is simple, do not be so quick to be in on Smith at his current asking price as the overall TE6. Smith’s career average entering 2024 was 5.54 fantasy points per game. We simply do not trust Tua Tagovailoa to be able to support multiple receiving options. Smith’s success came at the result of down years for Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, who finished respectively as the WR18 and WR46. Fantasy managers are buying all the risk drafting Smith at his current ADP of 79.6. In essence, you are paying for Smith at his fantasy ceiling.

Main Photo: Mark J. Rebilas – Imagn Images

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Justin Fields Dynasty Outlook After Jets Signing https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/2025/03/10/justin-fields-dynasty-outlook-after-jets-signing/ https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/2025/03/10/justin-fields-dynasty-outlook-after-jets-signing/#respond Mon, 10 Mar 2025 19:42:47 +0000 https://lastwordonsports.com/nfl/?p=221804 The former Bears and Steelers quarterback, Justin Fields, signed a two-year, $40 million contract to be the starting quarterback for the New York Jets to try to turn their franchise around after the failed Aaron Rodgers experiment. What is Justin Fields’ dynasty outlook?

Justin Fields Dynasty Outlook With New York Jets

Current Production

Fields has had an up-and-down start to his NFL career. He made twelve starts in his 2021 rookie season. He had a career year in 2022, finishing as the QB7 in fantasy football that season. Fields had a down year in 2023, playing in just thirteen games and finishing as the QB18. He was then traded to the Steelers as the Bears moved on to Caleb Williams. Fields started the season as the starting quarterback for the Steelers but was then replaced by Russell Wilson. He signed a two-year deal with the Jets to be their starting quarterback in 2025 and 2026.

Fields was never a great passing quarterback. His career high in passing yards is 2562, and his touchdowns are 17. He has 45 career passing touchdowns in 44 games started and six other appearances. Fields makes his money and fantasy production running the football. He had over 1100 rushing yards and eight touchdowns in his 2022 season. In limited action last year, he had five rushing touchdowns.

Dynasty Quarterback Rankings:

https://youtu.be/DtY6-D6QKTI?si=1t-tIAdnQ83yd0F7

Dynasty Price Before Trade

According to KeepTradeCut, a website that crowdsources dynasty values from players that use the site, Fields is the QB29. He is behind Geno Smith and Jaxson Dart while ahead of Matthew Stafford, Jalen Milroe, and Quinn Ewers. His value will increase in the coming weeks as he is now a starting quarterback for a team.

Justin Fields Dynasty Outlook After Trade

Fields is reunited with his Ohio State wide receiver, Garrett Wilson. They played two years together with the Buckeyes in 2019 and 2020. In 22 games together, Wilson had over 1000 receiving yards and over ten receiving touchdowns. They had a good connection, and that will be re-established in New York.

The Jets have a great running back in Breece Hall and Braelon Allen. However, the wide receiver room behind Wilson is not great. The second wide receiver on the team right now is Allen Lazard. Look for the Jets to upgrade this position in the 2025 NFL Draft.

Fields is never going to have much fantasy production with his arm. His upside comes with his rushing ability. The Jets having a rushing quarterback will be a big change for them after having an immobile quarterback last year. They will have to redesign the entire playbook for Fields. It might take a few weeks for the offense to be in sync, and there will be a lot of pressure on Fields and the Jets offense to deliver.

What to Do With Justin Fields in Dynasty Leagues

There were no guarantees that Fields would have a starting job in 2025, but he found one with the Jets. Fields has elite upside with his rushing abilities, and we have seen him finish as a top-ten fantasy quarterback before. He is a high-risk type of player in fantasy, and I think he is worth trying to trade for in dynasty leagues. However, he will probably have a short leash with the Jets, especially if they bring a rookie in during the 2025 NFL Draft. They also have Tyrod Taylor on the roster. Fields is a quarterback worth trading for if you are willing to take a risk on him.

Main Photo: Tommy Gilligan - Imagn Images

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The former Bears and Steelers quarterback, Justin Fields, signed a two-year, $40 million contract to be the starting quarterback for the New York Jets to try to turn their franchise around after the failed Aaron Rodgers experiment. What is Justin Fields’ dynasty outlook?

Justin Fields Dynasty Outlook With New York Jets

Current Production

Fields has had an up-and-down start to his NFL career. He made twelve starts in his 2021 rookie season. He had a career year in 2022, finishing as the QB7 in fantasy football that season. Fields had a down year in 2023, playing in just thirteen games and finishing as the QB18. He was then traded to the Steelers as the Bears moved on to Caleb Williams. Fields started the season as the starting quarterback for the Steelers but was then replaced by Russell Wilson. He signed a two-year deal with the Jets to be their starting quarterback in 2025 and 2026.

Fields was never a great passing quarterback. His career high in passing yards is 2562, and his touchdowns are 17. He has 45 career passing touchdowns in 44 games started and six other appearances. Fields makes his money and fantasy production running the football. He had over 1100 rushing yards and eight touchdowns in his 2022 season. In limited action last year, he had five rushing touchdowns.

Dynasty Quarterback Rankings:

Dynasty Price Before Trade

According to KeepTradeCut, a website that crowdsources dynasty values from players that use the site, Fields is the QB29. He is behind Geno Smith and Jaxson Dart while ahead of Matthew Stafford, Jalen Milroe, and Quinn Ewers. His value will increase in the coming weeks as he is now a starting quarterback for a team.

Justin Fields Dynasty Outlook After Trade

Fields is reunited with his Ohio State wide receiver, Garrett Wilson. They played two years together with the Buckeyes in 2019 and 2020. In 22 games together, Wilson had over 1000 receiving yards and over ten receiving touchdowns. They had a good connection, and that will be re-established in New York.

The Jets have a great running back in Breece Hall and Braelon Allen. However, the wide receiver room behind Wilson is not great. The second wide receiver on the team right now is Allen Lazard. Look for the Jets to upgrade this position in the 2025 NFL Draft.

Fields is never going to have much fantasy production with his arm. His upside comes with his rushing ability. The Jets having a rushing quarterback will be a big change for them after having an immobile quarterback last year. They will have to redesign the entire playbook for Fields. It might take a few weeks for the offense to be in sync, and there will be a lot of pressure on Fields and the Jets offense to deliver.

What to Do With Justin Fields in Dynasty Leagues

There were no guarantees that Fields would have a starting job in 2025, but he found one with the Jets. Fields has elite upside with his rushing abilities, and we have seen him finish as a top-ten fantasy quarterback before. He is a high-risk type of player in fantasy, and I think he is worth trying to trade for in dynasty leagues. However, he will probably have a short leash with the Jets, especially if they bring a rookie in during the 2025 NFL Draft. They also have Tyrod Taylor on the roster. Fields is a quarterback worth trading for if you are willing to take a risk on him.

Main Photo: Tommy Gilligan – Imagn Images

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