ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/32-Finals
Moutet – Tabilo: 21.03.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 1-1
Corentin Moutet has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Phoenix, the Frenchman lost in the quarterfinals against Bublik in three tight sets. This is his debut campaign in Miami. Moutet won against Blockx in straight sets in the opening main draw round.
Alejandro Tabilo has lost four of his last five matches. His last match was in Indian Wells, where he lost against Fritz in the third round. This has been a disappointing season for him. Last season in Miami, he lost against Dimitrov in the second round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Tabilo has a losing record of 1-7 this season. On the other hand, Moutet dominated in the opening round match in Miami. Tabilo lacks confidence, which is the main reason why Moutet will win this match.
That being said, Moutet winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Corentin Moutet winning @1.91 @bet365
Musetti – Halys: 21.03.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 0-1
Lorenzo Musetti has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Indian Wells, where he lost against Fils in the third round. Last season in Miami, he lost in the fourth round to Alcaraz in straight sets.
Quentin Halys has won three of his last five matches. His last match before ATP Miami was in Indian Wells, where Alcaraz stopped him in the second round. This week in Miami, Halys won the opening round match against Seyboth Wild in straight sets. Last season in Miami, he failed to qualify for the main draw tournament.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Musetti is the slight favorite in this matchup, but we disagree. Musetti is a clay court specialist. However, he underperformed this season on hard courts. On the other hand, Halys is in great form and will be confident coming into this match.
That being said, Halys winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Quentin Halys winning @2.20 @bet365
Ruud – Kecmanovic: 21.03.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 3-3
Casper Ruud has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Indian Wells, where he lost against Giron in the second round. Last season in Miami, Ruud lost in the fourth round against Jarry in straight sets.
Miomir Kecmanovic has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Cap Cana, Kecmanovic lost in the quarterfinals against Dzumhur in straight sets. This week in Miami, Kecmanovic won the opening match against Kovacevic in straight sets. The Serb was a quarterfinalist in 2022. Last season, Shang defeated Kecmanovic in the opening round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Ruud is the slight favorite in this matchup, but we disagree. So far, in their head-to-head meetings on hard courts, Kecmanovic has won both matches. He is a better hard-court player than Ruud, and we expect him to prolong that winning streak.
That being said, Kecmanovic winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Miomir Kecmanovic winning @2.30 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
