ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/32-Finals
Kyrgios – Khachanov: 21.03.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 1-2
Nick Kyrgios has lost four of his last five matches. This week in Miami, He won the opening-round match against McDonald in three sets. He is a two-time semifinalist in Miami. In his last appearance, He was stopped in the fourth round against Sinner.
Karen Khachanov has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Indian Wells, where he lost against Shelton in the third round. This is his ninth appearance in Miami. Last season, Khachanov lost in the fourth round against Zverev in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Khachanov is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Kyrgios and McDonald made too many unforced errors in the opening round. We expect Khachanov to play safe and wait for Kyrgios to make unforced errors. Kyrgios has not had consecutive wins since 2022.
That being said, Khachanov winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Karen Khachanov winning 2-0 @2.00 @bet365
Michelsen – Ugo Carabelli: 21.03.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 1-0
Alex Michelsen has lost three of his last five matches. In his last match, he retired mid-match against Medvedev in the third round of Indian Wells. At the beginning of the season, Michelsen had a solid run at the Australian Open, reaching the 1/8-finals.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won three of his last five matches. Ugo Carabelli failed to qualify this week in Miami for the main draw tournament. However, with several players withdrawing from the tournament, the Argentine entered the main draw. He won against Holt in three sets in the opening main draw round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Michelsen is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. He is a way better hard-court player than Ugo Carabelli, and we expect him to dominate from the start until the end.
That being said, Michelsen winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alex Michelsen winning 2-0 @1.67 @bet365
Monfils – Lehecka: 21.03.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 0-1
Gael Monfils has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Indian Wells, Monfils lost in the third round against Dimitrov in three tight sets. This week in Miami, he won against Marozsan in three tight sets. Last season in Miami, the Frenchman lost in the third round against Alcaraz in straight sets.
Jiri Lehecka has lost three straight matches. His last match was in Indian Wells, where he lost against Norrie in the opening round. This is his third appearance in Miami. He has never made it past the third round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Monfils usually has enough strength to get through the opening round. However, as the tournament progresses, Monfils is declining in his form. Lehecka hopes for a solid result to reach the top 20 in the rankings. We expect him to be a better player in this matchup.
That being said, Lehecka winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jiri Lehecka winning @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
