ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/32-Finals
Bublik – Paul: 21.03.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 1-4
Alexander Bublik has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Phoenix, Bublik finished as a runner-up, losing against Fonseca in the final. This week in Miami, Bublik won the opening match against Baez in straight sets. He was the quarterfinalist in Miami in 2021. Last season, Arnaldi upset Bublik in the second round.
Tommy Paul has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Indian Wells, Paul lost against Medvedev in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. Last season in Miami, he retired mid-match in the second round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Paul is the big favorite in this matchup, but we disagree. Bublik has a strong serve and has played well in the opening round against Baez. We expect him to hold his service games easily and keep this match tight.
That being said, Bublik covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Bublik +3.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Cerundolo – Muller: 21.03.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 0-2
Francisco Cerundolo has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Indian Wells, He had a great run but eventually lost to Alcaraz in the quarterfinals. This will be his fourth appearance in Miami. He was a semifinalist in 2022 and a quarterfinalist a year after that.
Alexandre Muller has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Cap Cana, Muller lost in the semifinals of a Challenger tournament against Kovacevic in three tight sets. Muller demolished Sakamoto in the opening round in straight sets this week in Miami. The Frenchman lost against Kwon last season in Miami in the opening round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Cerundolo is in solid form and has been playing well in Miami in all three appearances. On the other hand, Muller lost in the opening round last season and always underperformed at the Masters 1000 level. We expect Cerundolo to dominate in this matchup.
That being said, Cerundolo winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Francisco Cerundolo winning @1.73 @bet365
Dimitrov – Cina: 21.03.2025 Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Grigor Dimitrov has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Indian Wells, he lost against Alcaraz in the 1/8-finals. This will be his fourteenth appearance in Miami. He was runner-up last season, losing against Sinner in the final.
Federico Cina has won four of his last five matches. The young Italian teenager has been granted a wild card this week in Miami. He had a favorable opening-round draw. Cina won the opening match against Comesana in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Dimitrov is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Cina is still transitioning from the ITF level to the highest level. Dimitrov is one of the most experienced players in the tournament, and we expect him to dominate this match and win easily.
That being said, Dimitrov covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Grigor Dimitrov -5.5 games handicap @-110 @FanDuel
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
