ATP Masters 1000 Miami Long Term Best Bets
To Win the Title
Jack Draper has won ten out of the last eleven matches. Last week in Indian Wells, Draper won the Masters 1000 title. He had a tough draw but performed at the highest level. Draper defeated Fonseca, Brooksby, Fritz, Shelton, and Carlos Alcaraz en route to the final, losing only one set. In the final match, Rune had no answer for Brit’s game. Draper demolished him in straight sets, losing only four games.
According to the bookies, Draper is the third favorite to win this week’s title in Miami, but we disagree. We put him in the second spot near Carlos Alcaraz. Novak Djokovic is the second favorite, but totally out of form. On the other hand, Alcaraz, who is the first favorite, underperformed in Miami in his last two appearances.
We expect Draper to have another great run this week in Miami. The bookies are underestimating him.
That being said, Draper winning the title is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jack Draper winning the title @11.00 @bet365
To Reach the Final
Carlos Alcaraz has won eleven out of his last thirteen matches. Last week in Indian Wells, Alcaraz reached the semifinals, eventually falling to Jack Draper in three sets. The Spaniard won the title in Miami in 2022. Last season, Dimitrov stopped him in the quarterfinals. He is the second seed this week in Miami. Looking at the draw, Alcaraz has a favorable draw. Being the second seed, Alcaraz will start the tournament in the 1/32-Finals. His first tough challenge will be in the fourth round, where he will remain a clear favorite. Alcaraz is hungry for success after underperforming in Indian Wells and Doha. We expect him to reach the final easily.
That being said, Alcaraz reaching the final is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Carlos Alcaraz reaching the final @2.37 @bet365
Name the Finalists
As mentioned, Alcaraz and Draper are the biggest favorites to win this week’s title in Miami. They are in great form and are the most consistent players on hard courts now.
According to the bookies, Zverev and Alcaraz are the biggest favorites to reach the final, but we disagree. Zverev is in terrible form and has underperformed for the last couple of weeks. We expect Alcaraz and Draper to reach the final shortly after their semifinal clash in Indian Wells and have another tough battle.
That being said, Draper and Alcaraz to play in the final is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz to play the final @15.00 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
