ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/64-Finals
Blockx – Moutet: 19.03.2025 19:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Alexander Blockx has won three of his last five matches. He qualified for the main draw in Miami this week. In the final qualifying round, Blockx won against Atmane in straight sets. This will be his debut campaign in Miami. He spent most of his career playing at the Challenger Tour level.
Corentin Moutet has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Phoenix, the Frenchman lost in the quarterfinals against Bublik in three tight sets. Moutet has a losing record of 5-10 in the opening rounds of Masters tournaments. This will be his debut campaign in Miami as well.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Moutet is an established ATP player playing at the highest level. On the other hand, Blockx is a teenager who plays mostly at the Challenger Tour level. We expect Moutet’s experience to prevail in this matchup.
That being said, Moutet winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Corentin Moutet winning @1.73 @bet365
Ugo Carabelli – Holt: 19.03.2025 19:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won three of his last five matches. Ugo Carabelli failed to qualify this week in Miami for the main draw tournament. However, with several players withdrawing from the tournament, the Argentine entered the main draw. He has never played in the main draw tournament in Miami.
Brandon Holt has won three of his last five matches. Holt qualified for the main draw tournament, winning both qualifying matches in three sets. In his debut campaign 2021, Holt failed to qualify for the main draw tournament.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Holt is the slight favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Ugo Carabelli is a clay court specialist who has never succeeded on hard courts. On the other hand, Holt will have a crowd on his side and enjoys playing on fast courts. We expect Holt to be a better player tonight.
That being said, Holt winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Brandon Holt winning @1.50 @bet365
McDonald – Kyrgios: 19.03.2025 20:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Mackenzie McDonald has won three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, McDonald qualified for the main draw tournament. In his four appearances here, he has always made it past the opening main draw round.
Nick Kyrgios has lost nine straight matches. So far this season, Kyrgios has played in three tournaments and exited in the opening round each time. He is a two-time semifinalist in Miami. Kyrgios was stopped in the fourth round against Sinner in his last appearance.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, we agree that McDonald is the favorite in this matchup. He played well in the qualifying tournament and enjoys playing in Miami. On the other hand, Kyrgios is on the verge of retirement, as he said. He has been struggling with his form for the last couple of years. We expect McDonald to be a better player tonight.
That being said, McDonald covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Mackenzie McDonald -3.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
